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Nor is the US response after 9/11 any better. No serious attempt
has ever been made to catch Bin Laden. In late September and early
October 2001, leaders of Pakistan's two Islamist parties negotiated
Bin Laden's extradition to Pakistan to stand trial for 9/11.

However, a US official said, significantly, that "casting
our objectives too narrowly" risked "a premature collapse
of the international effort if by some lucky chance Mr Bin Laden
was captured". The US chairman of the joint chiefs of staff,
General Myers, went so far as to say that "the goal has never
been to get Bin Laden" (AP, April 5 2002). The whistleblowing
FBI agent Robert Wright told ABC News (December 19 2002) that FBI
headquarters wanted no arrests. And in November 2001 the US air
force complained it had had al-Qaida and Taliban leaders in its
sights as many as 10 times over the previous six weeks, but had
been unable to attack because they did not receive permission quickly
enough (Time Magazine, May 13 2002). None of this assembled evidence,
all of which comes from sources already in the public domain, is
compatible with the idea of a real, determined war on terrorism.
The catalogue of evidence does, however, fall into place when set
against the PNAC blueprint. From this it seems that the so-called
"war on terrorism" is being used largely as bogus cover
for achieving wider US strategic geopolitical objectives. Indeed
Tony Blair himself hinted at this when he said to the Commons liaison
committee: "To be truthful about it, there was no way we could
have got the public consent to have suddenly launched a campaign
on Afghanistan but for what happened on September 11" (Times,
July 17 2002). Similarly Rumsfeld was so determined to obtain a
rationale for an attack on Iraq that on 10 separate occasions he
asked the CIA to find evidence linking Iraq to 9/11; the CIA repeatedly
came back empty-handed (Time Magazine, May 13 2002).
In fact, 9/11 offered an extremely convenient pretext to put the
PNAC plan into action. The evidence again is quite clear that plans
for military action against Afghanistan and Iraq were in hand well
before 9/11. A report prepared for the US government from the Baker
Institute of Public Policy stated in April 2001 that "the US
remains a prisoner of its energy dilemma. Iraq remains a destabilizing
influence to... the flow of oil to international markets from the
Middle East". Submitted to Vice-President Cheney's energy task
group, the report recommended that because this was an unacceptable
risk to the US, "military intervention" was necessary
(Sunday Herald, October 6 2002).

Similar evidence exists in regard to Afghanistan. The BBC reported
(September 18 2001) that Niaz Niak, a former Pakistan foreign secretary,
was told by senior American officials at a meeting in Berlin in
mid-July 2001 that "military action against Afghanistan would
go ahead by the middle of October". Until July 2001 the US
government saw the Taliban regime as a source of stability in Central
Asia that would enable the construction of hydrocarbon pipelines
from the oil and gas fields in Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan,
through Afghanistan and Pakistan, to the Indian Ocean. But, confronted
with the Taliban's refusal to accept US conditions, the
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US representatives told them "either you accept our offer
of a carpet of gold, or we bury you under a carpet of bombs"
(Inter Press Service, November 15 2001).
Given this background, it is not surprising that some have seen
the US failure to avert the 9/11 attacks as creating an invaluable
pretext for attacking Afghanistan in a war that had clearly already
been well planned in advance. There is a possible precedent for
this. The US national archives reveal that President Roosevelt used
exactly this approach in relation to Pearl Harbor on December 7
1941. Some advance warning of the attacks was received, but the
information never reached the US fleet. The ensuing national outrage
persuaded a reluctant US public to join the second world war. Similarly
the PNAC blueprint of September 2000 states that the process of
transforming the US into "tomorrow's dominant force" is
likely to be a long one in the absence of "some catastrophic
and catalyzing event - like a new Pearl Harbor". The 9/11 attacks
allowed the US to press the "go" button for a strategy
in accordance with the PNAC agenda which it would otherwise have
been politically impossible to implement.
The overriding motivation for this political smokescreen is that
the US and the UK are beginning to run out of secure hydrocarbon
energy supplies. By 2010 the Muslim world will control as much as
60% of the world's oil production and, even more importantly, 95%
of remaining global oil export capacity. As demand is increasing,
so supply is decreasing, continually since the 1960s.
This is leading to increasing dependence on foreign oil supplies
for both the US and the UK. The US, which in 1990 produced domestically
57% of its total energy demand, is predicted to produce only 39%
of its needs by 2010. A DTI minister has admitted that the UK could
be facing "severe" gas shortages by 2005. The UK government
has confirmed that 70% of our electricity will come from gas by
2020, and 90% of that will be imported. In that context it should
be noted that Iraq has 110 trillion cubic feet of gas reserves in
addition to its oil.

A report from the commission on America's national interests in
July 2000 noted that the most promising new source of world supplies
was the Caspian region, and this would relieve US dependence on
Saudi Arabia. To diversify supply routes from the Caspian, one pipeline
would run westward via Azerbaijan and Georgia to the Turkish port
of Ceyhan. Another would extend eastwards through Afghanistan and
Pakistan and terminate near the Indian border. This would rescue
Enron's beleaguered power plant at Dabhol on India's west coast,
in which Enron had sunk $3bn investment and whose economic survival
was dependent on access to cheap gas.
Nor has the UK been disinterested in this scramble for the remaining
world supplies of hydrocarbons, and this may partly explain British
participation in US military actions. Lord Browne, chief executive
of BP, warned Washington not to carve up Iraq for its own oil companies
in the aftermath of war (Guardian, October 30 2002). And when a
British foreign minister met Gadaffi in his desert tent in August
2002, it was said that "the UK does not want to lose out to
other European nations already jostling for advantage when it comes
to potentially lucrative oil contracts" with Libya (BBC Online,
August 10 2002).
The conclusion of all this analysis must surely be that the "global
war on terrorism" has the hallmarks of a political myth propagated
to pave the way for a wholly different agenda - the US goal of world
hegemony, built around securing by force command over the oil supplies
required to drive the whole project. Is collusion in this myth and
junior participation in this project really a proper aspiration
for British foreign policy? If there was ever need to justify a
more objective British stance, driven by our own independent goals,
this whole depressing saga surely provides all the evidence needed
for a radical change of course. 
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